Lawa Mamodeli Engqondo Ama-2 Azonquma Ukuthi Ukuqalwa Kwakho Kwe-AI Kuyohlala Yini

Ngokomlando, noma nini lapho ubuchwepheshe obusha, obuphumelelayo buvela, bugcwala imakethe ngamathani ezinhlelo zokusebenza ezintsha ezakhiwe ngokwezifiso zisebenzisa lobo buchwepheshe obusha ngesimo noma ngesimo esithile, kodwa ngokuvamile kuthatha isikhashana size siqale ukubona imikhiqizo emihle ehlala njalo.

Manje sekungokokuqala ngemva kwesikhashana ukuthi kuvele ubuchwepheshe obusha (i-LLM) obusha, kanye nezikhukhula zemikhiqizo ye-AI ye-99999 zifike emhlabeni, ngakho-ke sesizothola ukuthi yimiphi imikhiqizo emisha yobuchwepheshe nezinkampani ezakhelwe ukuhlala isikhathi eside.

Okujabulisayo lapha ukuthi ubuchwepheshe obuphumelelayo bunikeza abasunguli abasha abangaziwa nabaqalayo ithuba lokukhuphukela phezulu futhi bakhe okusha. ama-monopolies .

Kulokhu okuthunyelwe, ngizobhala ngemodeli yengqondo engikholwa ukuthi izobeka izinkampani ezihlala njalo ze-AI ngaphandle kwalabo abazoba nomzuzwana wodumo kodwa baphele ngemuva kwalokho. Futhi ngizokwabelana ngemicabango yami ngokuthi lokhu kuphendukela kwemvelo kungathatha isikhathi esingakanani.

#<24 izinyanga ukuya kuma-monopoli amasha womhlaba

Yebo, ngikholwa ukuthi sizosuka emikhiqizweni eyakhelwe ngokwezifiso (engase inamathele noma inganamatheli) siye emikhiqizweni ye-AI njengempahla esingeke sikwazi ukuphila ngaphandle kwayo, ezinyangeni ezingu-24 noma ngaphansi. Indlela enhle engiyithole yokuchaza lokhu Wardley Imephu ye-Value Chain (a i-youtuber iliguqulele kwifomu lethebula njengoba uhlobo lwangempela lwemephu lunzima ukuliqonda ekuqaleni).

Nakuba ubuchwepheshe obuningi bangaphambilini buthathe ishumi leminyaka noma ngaphezulu ukuthi busuke esigabeni sabo Esakhiwe Ngokwezifiso ukuya kwempahla, ngikholwa ukuthi imikhiqizo enikwe amandla yi-LLM izofika lapho ezinyangeni ezingama-24 ezizayo, uma kubhekwa ukuthi ama-LLM awubuchwepheshe bokuqala emlandweni onganikezi nje ukuphindaphinda inani kumakhasimende, kodwa futhi yenza inqubo yokukhiqiza/yokuklama/yokucabanga isheshe kakhulu futhi ibe lula.

Isibonelo, isikhathi esiningi sonyaka odlule, bengisebenzisa isici sezwi se-Chat GPT's AI nsuku zonke, ngezinye izikhathi amahora ambalwa. Kwesinye isikhathi njengomeluleki wezobuchwepheshe uma kukhulunywa ngezinqumo zezobuchwepheshe ezilandelanayo neziyinkimbinkimbi, ngezinye izikhathi ukudingida i-HR namasu okuxhumana nokunye.

Njengoba sengiyisebenzisile kaningi ngibona ngokucacile ukuthi ishoda ngani (isb. ukukhumbula esikhuluma ngakho ukuze ngikwazi ukwazisa kancane kancane ngokuhamba kwesikhathi futhi ngivele ngikhulume futhi ngenze izinqumo ezingcono ngokushesha). Ngiyabona futhi ukuthi imikhiqizo yengxoxo yezwi ye-AI izoba yinto abasebenzisi abayizigidi eziyinkulungwane abazoyisebenzisa nsuku zonke. Okungangicaceli kahle ukuthi iyiphi inkampani (noma izinkampani), ngokusebenzisa isiphi isixhumi esibonakalayo somsebenzisi kanye nemodeli yebhizinisi namanani entengo, ezoletha lokho okuhlangenwe nakho. Ngiyakwazi ukuqagela (futhi empeleni ngizothumela okuthile kulesi sikhala maduze), kodwa isikhathi kuphela esizosho.

#Imodeli Yengqondo 1: I-AI njengethuluzi iqhathaniswa ne-AI njengomhlanganyeli okhiqizayo kokuhlangenwe nakho komuntu

Njengoba bengingumsebenzisi onamandla wezinhlelo zokusebenza eziningi ze-AI (futhi kusukela ngafunda i-AI futhi ngaqala umsebenzi wami wokuphatha umkhiqizo we-AI), ngiyaqaphela ngibona indima namandla emikhiqizo ye-AI empilweni yami ngendlela ehlukile kubantu abaningi abaye baphumelela. muva nje uqale ukusebenzisa imikhiqizo ye-AI. Ngandlela thize, ngicabanga ukuthi ngilindele lukhulu ngempela ku-AI (futhi angivamile ukudumala kulezi zinsuku, njengoba i-AI ikwazi ukuletha lokho engikulindele), kodwa abantu abaningi balindele okuphansi ngempela ku-AI ngakho-ke abalokothi bahlangabezane nezinga eliphansi. zokukhiqiza/zobuciko abangafinyelela kuzo.

Lokhu kungase kube ukuthi ngibe nesikhathi esanele sokusuka ekucabangeni i-AI njengethuluzi, ngicabange nge-AI njengozakwethu olinganayo ekuthatheni izinqumo ezizindeni ezithile, ngisho nokwakha amakhono ami ngendlela ecabangela lokhu. Ngakho-ke akungilimazi emoyeni ukukhuluma ne-AI njengochwepheshe ezizindeni ezithile.

Ngokuvamile, ngikholwa ukuthi izinkampani eziwinayo ze-AI namaphrojekthi kuzoba yilawo angabona amandla aphelele e-AI. Uma ubona i-AI ingukuthuthuka okuncane, uzodala imikhiqizo ewusizo kancane. Kuvela ukuthi awusoze wawina ngokuba ngcono kancane, kodwa ngokuba i-oda lobukhulu noma okungcono kakhulu.

Ungakwazi kakade ukubona lokhu okubili phakathi konjiniyela nabaklami. Ngikholwa ukuthi oyedwa kuphela wabo uzowina:

#2 izinhlobo zonjiniyela

Onjiniyela abaningi abaphezulu engibaziyo babonakala begwema ukusebenzisa amathuluzi e-AI ekubhaleni amakhodi, njengokungathi kuyabalimaza ukuvuma ukuthi bangawenza umsebenzi wabo. Bacishe bacasuke uma ubabuza ukuthi bazosebenzisa i-AI. Lapho ekugcineni bethatha isinqumo sokukuzama (ngoba babone othile abamhloniphayo enza kanjalo), empeleni abawasebenzisi amandla ako aphelele. Esikhundleni salokho, babhala imiyalo emifushane kakhulu, behlise i-AI ibe isigcwalisi sekhodi, bese bephetha ngokuthi “enye nje ithuluzi”.

Ngicabanga ukuthi ingxenye yakho kungenxa yokuthi abakwazi [noma babe nezisusa eziphikisana nokufuna] ukucabanga nge-AI njengonjiniyela ongcono kunabo ezindaweni eziyinkinga.

Uma ngibheka imiyalo ebhalwe onjiniyela abakhulu uma beqhathaniswa nonjiniyela abancane, onjiniyela abancane bangabagqugquzeli be-AI abangcono ngokungaguquki (futhi ngenxa yalokho bakhiqiza kakhulu ebudlelwaneni babo ne-AI) njengoba benezisusa zokusebenzisa i-AI ngakho-ke bazuza okuningi ku-AI. Izikhuthazo, ngoba zingenisa amakhono e-AI, zonga isikhathi esiningi nomzamo. Ngokungafani nonjiniyela abakhulu abachitha iminyaka bekha amakhono abakwaziyo manje ngenisa .

#2 izinhlobo zabaklami

Uma ungumklami, ungasebenzisa i-AI ukuze udale ulwazi olusha oluthuthukisa kakhulu indlela abasebenzisi abaxhumana ngayo nabanye abasebenzisi, kanye/noma ngolwazi.

Ukusebenzisana komsebenzisi nomsebenzisi nolwazi lomsebenzisi yikona okukhiqiza inani eliyinhloko kuyo yonke imikhiqizo yobuchwepheshe. Uma wenza ukuthuthuka okungu-10x ekusebenzisaneni komkhiqizo okhiqizayo/okuthwebulayo, usanda kunikeza inkampani yakho inani eliphambene lenzuzo yokuncintisana emakethe.

Muva nje bengixoxisana nabaklami abaningi be-UI ukuze ngiqalise. Njengengxenye yenqubo yenhlolokhono, ngizama ukubona ukuthi bangacabanga kanjani ukusetshenziswa kwe-AI ngenkinga ethile ohlotsheni oluthile lomkhiqizo, futhi ngaqaphela ukuthi kunezinhlobo ezi-2 zezindlela:

1. I-AI njengethuluzi: Chofoza inkinobho noma isithonjana ukuze ubone uhlu lwemisebenzi i-AI engayenzela yona, njengokuthi “fingqa”, “dala __”, “buza umbuzo” njll.
2. I-AI njengomhlanganyeli kulwazi lomsebenzisi analo: Thumela umbhalo we-AI njengokungathi ungaba umuntu futhi uthole inani. isib. “Ubani okufanele ngikhulume naye uma ngidinga ___?”, “ungenza isingeniso phakathi kwami nomsebenzisi u-B?”, “ziyini izindleko zethuba lesinqumo A uma kubhekwa umsebenzisi ongu-B ngelinye ilanga?” njll.

Futhi, inani elikhiqiziwe nelithwetshulwa phakathi kwalokhu oku-2 lihlukile okungenani ngohlelo lobukhulu. Uma ungumklami (noma uqasha oyedwa), kufanele uqaphele ukuthi bacabanga ngohlobo 1 noma thayipha 2 ngokuzenzakalelayo.

#Imodeli Yengqondo 2: Isidingo Esikhona vs I-Always-On AI

Ngafunda ngaleli temu Rahul Vohra , i-CEO ye I-Superhuman enkulumweni ayinikeze ngo-2024 emcimbini owawuseSan Francisco.

I-On-Demand AI iyinoma yini ephendula ukwaziswa komsebenzisi. I-Always-On AI, ngakolunye uhlangothi, isebenza ngemuva futhi ingase ithathe isinyathelo sokuqala ekusebenzelaneni komuntu ne-AI, futhi ingakha ulwazi lomuntu-AI-lomuntu noma lomuntu-AI-olukhiqiza inani, ngaphandle kokubuzwa.

Nginobunzima bokuthola ukuthi iyiphi enye yalezi ezongeza inani elikhulu kubasebenzisi nezinkampani, kodwa uma bengingaqagela, bengingacabanga okwakamuva. Zibone ngeso lengqondo usengxoxweni yeqembu eliku-inthanethi noma umphakathi futhi uthole umlayezo othi “Ngiqaphele ukuthi ukuqoqwa kwezimali kuwukucabanga kwakho, kanti leli elinye ilungu lifuna izinkampani elizotshala kuzo imali. lifuna isingeniso esifudumele?”. Lokho kungakha inani wena njengomsebenzisi obungazi nokuthi ungalizuza kulelo qembu/engxoxweni noma emphakathini, mhlawumbe ngoba awuhloli njalo okuphakelayo, kodwa i-AI.

Ngokufanayo ungacabanga ukuthi i-Always-On AI ingaba namandla kangakanani kwezinye izimo ezahlukahlukene. Ngandlela thize, ungacabanga nge-Always-On AI njengesikhulisi senhlanhla. Umhlanganyeli owazi kahle umongo wakho, izidingo kanye nezinto ozifunayo, futhi uhlale ebheka izindlela ezintsha zokwandisa inhlanhla yakho; ikakhulukazi ngezindlela ongazazi. Ngicabanga ukuthi lokho kunevelu engenakulinganiswa.

Uma ubona izinkampani ze-AI eziqasha lawa mamodeli engqondo awinayo, gxuma futhi uzisebenzele/utshale kuzo ngoba maningi amathuba okuthi zibe izinkampani ezinkulu ezilandelayo zobuchwepheshe.