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Lighter-Skinned NFTs Command Higher Prices in the Broader Marketby@cryptopunkforum

Lighter-Skinned NFTs Command Higher Prices in the Broader Market

by CryptoPunk ForumJanuary 25th, 2025
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This section analyzes gender and racial biases in the broader NFT market. Among 44 collections, there is no significant gender-based pricing disparity. However, analysis of CryptoPunks, Avastar, and Dynamic Duelers indicates lighter-skinned NFTs are generally sold at higher prices than darker-skinned ones. Broader generalizations require more data.
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Authors:

(1) Howard Zhong, MIT CSAIL ([email protected]);

(2) Mark Hamilton, MIT CSAIL, Microsoft ([email protected]).

Abstract and 1 Introduction

2 Methodology

3 Results

3.1 CryptoPunks

3.2 Aggregate NFT Market

4 Discussion

5. Conclusion/ Acknowledgements/ References


A Appendix

A.1 Implementation Details

A.2 Detailed NFT Information & A.3 Google NFT Searches Map

3.2 Aggregate NFT Market

We conduct similar analysis for gender and race bias across the NFT market. We found 44 collections with gender labels but only 3 with race labels.


3.2.1 Gender


For the 44 NFT collections chosen as detailed in Section 2.2, we calculate p-values to determine whether male NFT prices are greater than female NFT prices. P-values are calculated from a paired log t-test marked to weekly mean with a outlier trim percentile of 2.5%. To satisfy preconditions of a t-test, we apply a log transformation to make prices follow a more normal distribution and remove outliers. We mark to weekly mean price, which is common for low transaction volume markets such as NFT markets [7]. From the analysis, we find no clear relationship between market cap and gender bias. However, we do demonstrate that male prices are not statistically significantly higher than female prices for the broader NFT market.


Figure 5: Plot of Market Cap versus % Mean of Weekly Difference in Male and Female Price per Collection.


Figure 5 displays collections with male price statistically significantly (α = 0.05) higher than female price (right red dots), female price statistically significantly higher than male price (left red dots), and no statistically significant difference (black dots). There is no clear relationship between market cap and mean price difference across gender, but the figure does answer whether male NFTs are priced higher than female NFTs across the aggregate market.


First, the mean across all collections of the price difference of male and female NFTs is only 0.63%. Furthermore, at a significance level of α = 0.05, only 11 out of 44 collections have male NFTs valued more than female NFTs, whereas 7 collections have female NFTs valued more than male NFTs. Therefore, there is not enough evidence to conclude there is a statistically significant difference between male and female prices for the broader NFT market.


3.2.2 Race


In addition to CryptoPunks, we obtained race labels for the Avastar and Dynamic Duelers collections. From mean and median statistics in Table 4, we find that light-skinned NFTs on average tend to be sold for higher prices that darker-skinned counterpart. The result is less significant for Dynamic Duelers. For statistics in Table 4 and 5, we use outlier trim level of 2.5%.


Table 4: Mean and Median selling price (eth) of lighter-skinned and darker-skinned NFTs


Table 5: P-values varying types of one-sided log t-tests for the hypothesis that price of Lighterskinned NFT > Darker-skinned NFT. Bold indicates p-value< 0.05.


We also conduct hypothesis tests in Table 5 to determine the statistical significance of whether lighter-skinned NFTs are worth more than darker-skinned NFTs. With a majority of the p-values less than 0.2 and our conclusion from CryptoPunks, the results suggest lighter-skinned NFTs are worth more than darker-skinned NFTs, though not necessarily at a statistically significant level. Because this analysis is on a small subset of the entire NFT market, more data is required to generalize our conclusion to the entire NFT market.


This paper is available on arxiv under CC BY 4.0 DEED license.